Exit Note

NESCO is a low-risk compounder and has been more of a cash proxy for our portfolio. Fortunately, it has stood that test well- despite carnage in small and mid caps, it hasn't fallen much protecting our downside while offering returns better than fixed income.

The recent correction in broader markets has thrown some interesting bargains. Since we are now almost fully invested, we have to keep ranking businesses in terms of their risk-reward potential and exit some to make room for better opportunities.

While we continue to like NESCO, for now we are exiting it. In future, whenever we have idle cash or when we prefer to position portfolio in a defensive way, we may consider re-entering.



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Exact weightage will depend on each subscriber’s risk appetite & comfort. However, as a thumb rule, any position size under 3% is little insignificant to move returns at portfolio level whereas beyond 10% it gets riskier from a concentration standpoint. Accordingly, low could indicate 3-4% weightage, medium 5-7% and high 8-10%.
Structural are those portfolio businesses where earnings are relatively stable (less volatility) and further are expected to rise in a steady fashion. Cyclicals are businesses which experience periods of upcycle followed by downcycle and have large variation in their reported earnings based on industry demand and supply. The mix between the two depends on available opportunities and respective valuation of the two pockets.